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Anthropic to receive up to $4B investment from Amazon

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Top stories today:

  1. Anthropic to receive up to $4B investment from Amazon
  2. Meta to announce AI character bots, likely on Wednesday
  3. McCarthy to attempt vote to avoid shutdown starting Tuesday
  4. Hollywood unions reach provisional 3-year deal with studios

0. Data and calendar

All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT).

All times are ET.

1. Anthropic to receive up to $4B investment from Amazon

Anthropic is now the #2 most well-funded generative AI unicorn startup:

  • The initial tranche is $1.25B for a minority stake (exp. smaller than Microsoft's 49% in OpenAI).

    • Anthropic will spend “a certain amount of capital” on AWS, but the numbers are unclear.

    • Amazon will supply AWS Trainium and Inferentia technology, and Anthropic will collaborate on their future developments. - WSJ, Anthropic

  • Previously, Anthropic said it needed $1B over 18 months to develop its next model, Claude-next. - Techcrunch

  • Previous investors include Google, FTX, and Salesforce.

    • The last valuation was $5B in May.

2. Meta to announce AI character bots, likely on Wednesday, in push for young users

  • Meta's “Gen AI Personas” are similar chatbots to Character AI's.

  • The aim is to lure young users away from TikTok, which is currently the #1 most popular social media app among U.S. teenagers.

    • And increase user engagement in general.

  • Announcement expected at Meta Connect, which is on Wed-Thu. - WSJ

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  • Employer reimbursements possible: many Sidebar members get their membership fees covered by their employer.

Why spend a decade finding your people – join Sidebar today. Sign up for the growing waitlist of over 4,000 top senior leaders, and apply to become a founding member. - Sidebar

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4. McCarthy to attempt vote to avoid shutdown starting Tuesday

  • Tue: 1st vote on some of the key funding bills, including State Department, Homeland Security, and agricultural priorities.

  • Wed-Fri: expected more votes on remaining funding bills. - WSJ

Historically, government shutdowns have been short and have not led to significant spending cuts

Our view: Elon Musk showed that sometimes you can cut 80% of employees and have no effect on productivity

5. Hollywood unions reach provisional 3-year deal with studios to end strike

  • Details to be released Tuesday, but will likely include higher pay, performance bonuses, and AI standards.

    • May 2: strike began.

Our view: strikes reduce economic output and therefore are not an efficient way to negotiate wages

Alternatives are necessary, including:

  • Long-term contracts automatically tying wage growth with revenue/profit growth.

  • 3rd party mediation to reach fair contract changes.

6. Trump 52% vs. 42% Biden in new ABC poll, as other polls, betting markets show tough race

  • Trump +1.1% on RealClearPolitics's polling average. - RCP

Betting markets have Trump as the slightly favorite, at 33% odds, vs. 31% for Biden

7. Interesting tweets, memes, and videos

8. Other headlines

AI

Tech

  • Apple to scale India production 5x to $40B in 4-5 years: source.

  • Range, backed by Google's AI Fund, has revolutionized wealth management.*

  • SpaceX’s cell coverage plans delayed by Starship explosion.

  • Android: India’s PhonePe launches 0-fee app store.

  • Amazon Alexa’s departing head: an interview.

  • Artifact: interview with co-founder Systrom (co-founder of Instagram).

  • Netflix's DVD unit being shut down (yes, it still was operating).

  • Trust & Will makes online estate planning easy & affordable.*

*Sponsored.

Tech & law

  • U.S. finalizes rules to prevent China from profiting from $52B CHIPS Act.

  • CA’s Newsom vetoes bill banning self-driving trucks.

  • Apple AI chief at Google trial: iPhone users can easily switch default search.

  • Rivos countersues Apple, saying Apple intimidates exiting employees.

Biotech

  • Longevity “industrial complex”: a (negative) look at the industry.

  • Ozempic expected to be #5 drug in 2023, #2 in 2024.

Business

Crypto

  • Mixin Network hacked for $200M.

  • Architect, founded by former FTX US president, gets CFTC license.

  • FTX: former lawyers file motion to dismiss class action.

U.S. politics

  • Nevada to have caucuses, which may benefit Trump.

  • GOP debate moderators: Dana Perino, Stuart Varney, Ilia Calderón.

World

  • Russia's Lavrov: West is “directly at war” with Moscow.

  • Zelensky's wife: not sure he will run for President in 2024.

  • Odesa hit overnight with drones and missiles.

  • U.S. Ambassador: Western intelligence led to India accusation.

  • Poland issues no-insults warning to Zelensky after UN comments.

  • China's takeover of Mischief Reef, 900 miles south of Chinese mainland.

  • Taliban may create large-scale camera surveillance network.

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