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Google to announce PaLM 2 and multimodal Bard tomorrow

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Top stories today:
1. Google to announce PaLM 2 and multimodal Bard tomorrow
2. Tech earnings roundup: Palantir AI up, Covid, EVs, and lower margins down

0. Data and calendar

All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT).

All times are ET.

1. Google to announce PaLM 2 and multimodal Bard tomorrow

PaLM-E visual. Tomorrow we should get the announcement of its v2.

The materials to be presented at Google I/O tomorrow got leaked to CNBC:

  • “PaLM 2 includes more than 100 languages and has been operating under the internal codename ‘Unified Language Model.’

    • It’s also performed a broad range of coding and math tests as well as creative writing tests and analysis.”

  • Multimodal Bard: “The company has worked on a multimodal version called ‘Multi-Bard,’ which uses a larger data set and solves complex math and coding programs, according to separate documentation viewed by CNBC. The company has also tested versions called ‘Big Bard’ and ‘Giant Bard.’”

  • AI for Workspace:

    • “Template generation in Sheets and image generation in its Slides and Meet products”

    • “Slides sidebar with a chat box that allowed a user to enter text with the option to “create” an image based on the words.”

  • Google Lens: “The company will show advancements to “multi-search” for camera and voice, after last year allowing users to ask questions about what they’re viewing in images.” - CNBC

Our view: Google can catch up to OpenAI, but will it actually release products?

  • Google has all it takes to catch up and compete effectively with OpenAI: the talent, the technology, the history — of note, Google researchers created (and patented) Transformers technology, the T in ChatGPT.

  • The question is: will it actually release the best products? Google explicitly just released Bard, one of its smaller LLMs, and it was a total flop — of course, how could it compete with GPT-4, OpenAI's largest model?

    • It would be a game-changer if Google released this “Giant Bard.” We're certainly eager to try it and compare it with GPT-4.

2. Tech earnings roundup: Palantir AI up, Covid, EVs, and lower margins down

  • BioNTech's profit plunges to $554M as Covid vaccine demand fades.

  • Lucid misses on revenue, which jumps 159% to $149M.

  • Palantir has strong earnings forecast on high demand for AI products.

  • Paypal drops on worse guidance on operating margin; revenue +9% to $7B.

  • *SPONSORED: Tangle is an independent, non-partisan politics newsletter that summarizes the leading arguments from the right, left, and center on one big debate every day. Sign up for free to get a 360-degree political read. - Tangle

4. Tesla to provide 1-month free trial of Full Self Driving once service is “super smooth”

  • Lithium refinery: Tesla also said its Texfinery will build battery metal for 1M cars by 2025. - Techcrunch

Our view: if Tesla can provide good updates at a distance, a hacker can provide bad updates

  • Imagine malicious software that caused all Teslas to crash, rather than drive properly. With 2M cars sold, it could be a “Black Swan” event that kills millions.

    • This is true of any vehicle that can be updated or controlled by software from a distance. Scary stuff. - Techcrunch

5. Ranking: most trusted media organizations

  • Republicans distrust the media more than Democrats across the board.

    • This might be why they are more prone to believing fake news (e.g., Covid vaccines have 5G chips).

    • Their view on CNN, MSNBC, and the NYT is fascinating, at between -30 and -40 net trust.

  • Pro-tech pro-business WSJ is well up high, and we're glad to see it.

    • Bloomberg is shockingly in the middle — but that is likely explained by founder Michael Bloomberg being a controversial political figure.

6. Chart: Roundup of Big Tech's AI server chips

Read more: The Information.

7. Other headlines

Tech

  • VicunaChat: possibly the best open-source version of ChatGPT.

  • MultiModal-GPT: new paper on an open-source multimodal LLM.

  • LinkedIn to cut 716 jobs, 3.5% of staff; shutting down China app.

  • iPhone 16 Pro and Pro Max to feature larger 6.3-in and 6.9-in displays.

  • Meta to end news content in Canada if “flawed legislation” is approved.

  • AI emergent abilities are a mirage, actually linear: Stanford researchers.

  • Twitter purging accounts with “several years” inactivity to free up usernames.

  • Whatsapp allowing in-app payments for Singapore, after Brazil.

    • Potential to become a super-app, but so far has been slow.

Biotech

  • EU: on the difficulties of launching new medicines across all 27 states.

  • AI identifies 3 new antiaging senolytic drugs for Integrated Bio.

  • IPOs: only 6 so far this year, compared to 19 in 2022.

  • Epigenetic contribution to aging: proposing a model.

Business

  • Yellen calls CEOs to warn on debt ceiling and ask for pressure on GOP.

  • Saudi Aramco's profit -19% YoY to $31.9B in Q1.

  • NYT to get $100M from Google over 3 years of content partnership.

  • Biden to propose airline rule with compensation for cancellations, delays.

  • Puck co-founder and CEO leaving. Company at 240K free subs / 30K paid.

  • Goldman to pay $215M to end case of underpaying women.

Crypto

  • Coinbase not leaving the U.S. despite regulations: CEO.

  • SEC v. Ripple lawsuit to cost company $200M: CEO.

  • SBF moves to dismiss most criminal charges, citing extradition agreement.

  • Sam Altman's WorldCoin launches World App wallet; 500K MAUs.

  • BTC tx fees larger than block subsidy, as BRC-20 explodes in demand.

  • BRC-20 tokens have 900M in value; Ordi, a memecoin, $540M.

  • Bittrex, U.S. crypto exchange, files for bankruptcy in Delaware.

  • Apollo involved in NovaWulf's bid for Celsius: source.

  • Blockchain Association calls for revisions to SEC custody rule.

  • Family offices invested in crypto rise from 16% in 2021 to 26% now.

U.S. politics

  • Georgia GOP Chairman: just following orders from Trump lawyers.

  • Trump prohibited from posting evidence online in hush money case.

  • McConnell on his 2024 strategy; 23 open Dem seats, just 11 GOP ones.

World

  • Putin gives defiant, but short (10-min) speech in Victory Day parade.

  • Russia continues to bomb Kherson.

  • Kissinger predicts China involvement will lead to Ukraine peace by year-end.

  • Israel kills 3 Gaza terrorist commanders in airstrikes.

8. Interesting tweets, memes, and images

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