- Bay Area Times
- Posts
- Harris, Trump at exactly 50% on top forecaster Nate Silver’s projections
Harris, Trump at exactly 50% on top forecaster Nate Silver’s projections
Top stories today:
- Harris, Trump at exactly 50% in Nate Silver’s projections
- Anthropic releases Claude 3.5 Haiku with 4x price of predecessor
- OpenAI said to be in discussions with regulators to become for-profit
- Apple to provide limited ChatGPT access via Siri for free
- Palantir reports record profit on “unrelenting” AI demand
0. Data and calendar
All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 and NASDAQ close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT).
All times are ET.
Correction: yesterday’s calendar showed an incorrect BioNTech’s Previous data. It is correct now.
Listen to our AI-generated podcast summarizing today’s newsletter (beware the few hallucinations):
1. Harris, Trump at exactly 50% in top forecaster Nate Silver’s projections
Nationally, Harris is +0.1% in the polls.
In PA, Trump is +0.4%. Pennsylvania is the most likely tipping point state, and whoever wins it has a ~90% chance of winning the election, according to Silver.
Mon.: Harris was in Philadelphia’s art museum and addressed a crowd.
Trump was in Michigan and held his final campaign rally in Battle Creek.
5 PM ET: exit polls in non-battle ground states should come out.
6 PM ET: results are expected shortly after polls start to close then.
Joe Rogan explicitly endorsed Trump while interviewing mega-donor Elon Musk
Gain clarity and control to help connect your work to your business goals.
Collaborate easily, communicate clearly, and bridge silos across your organization.
Collaborate easily, communicate clearly, and bridge silos across your organization.
*Sponsored.
3. Anthropic releases Claude 3.5 Haiku with 4x price of predecessor
The price hike is to “reflect its increase in intelligence,” Anthropic said.
Claude 3.5 Haiku surpassed Claude 3 Opus’ benchmark performance.
Jun.: Claude 3.5 Sonnet was released; at the time, on par with GPT-4o, which has since surpassed it.