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- OpenAI launches GPT-4; API cost 60x more than ChatGPT
OpenAI launches GPT-4; API cost 60x more than ChatGPT
Top stories today: 1) OpenAI launches GPT-4, 2) Anthropic launches Claude, 3) Gmail and Docs adding AI, 4) Adept raises $350M, and 5) CPI drops to 6.0%.
Hi, and welcome to today's Bay Area Times daily newsletter. Top stories today: 1) OpenAI launches GPT-4, 2) Anthropic launches Claude, 3) Gmail and Docs adding AI, 4) Adept raises $350M, and 5) CPI drops to 6.0%.
0. Data and calendar
All values as of 3 AM PT / 6 AM ET, other than S&P500 close (1 PM PT / 4 PM ET).
All times are ET.
1. OpenAI launches GPT-4; API cost 60x more than ChatGPT
GPT is multimodal, taking in images as input
GPT-4 scores at the highest percentiles in most exams, including the GRE and the LSAT
But GPT-4's highest-performing API (in closed beta) cost $0.12/1,000 tokens, 60x more than ChatGPT's
Still, many apps are already using GPT-4
The New Bing has been using GPT-4 for the last 5 weeks
Duolingo has integrated GPT-4 in its new Max offering
Duolingo Max will cost $29.99/mo or $167.99/year. - Techcrunch, Duolingo
Main so-whats?
Will others be able to copy GPT-4's quality? Google's unlaunched multimodal PaLM-E is likely of similar quality, and we expect open-source LLMs to use GPT-4 as fine-tuning and come close to it, over the next few months.
Closed beta, no technical details. For a company/non-profit named OpenAI, they are doing a great job of keeping things closed. Not only GPT-4 is not open-source, but its beta is not even open to the public, requiring a waitlist. To put the cherry on top, the GPT-4 "paper" does not include details like model size, hardware, and training method, citing "the competitive landscape and the safety implications of large-scale models like GPT-4." - OpenAI, Paper
2. Anthropic opens up beta for Claude; unclear how it's any better than GPT
This seems to be competitive with ChatGPT, not GPT-4. Anthropic was founded in 2021 by former OpenAI engineers, and recently raised $400M in funding from Google (Microsoft's main rival in AI). Yet, their Claude LLM is not multimodal and Anthropic is not even posting comparisons to GPT-4, suggesting that their product is worse.
Pricing is $0.0086 for 1 thousand characters, much higher than ChatGPT's pricing of $0.002 for 1 thousand tokens (each token has a few characters), closer to GPT-4's price of $0.12 for 1 thousand tokens. - Bloomberg, Anthropic
3. Google adding AI to Gmail and Docs
Draft, reply, summarize, brainstorm, proofread, write, rewrite: the main features being launched immediately in Gmail and Docs. Looking ahead, for other Workspace apps, we'll see auto-generated images, audio, and video in Slides; insights and analysis, formula generation, and contextual categorization in Sheets; note-taking in Meet; and more.
Closed beta, and you can't even apply for it: another sign that Google is even more careful than OpenAI or Microsoft in its AI launches. As we know, Microsoft is working on similar features for its Office suite. - The Verge, Google
All apps will integrate generative AI: we see that as an unstoppable trend. Thinking longer-term, every task that a human does today can in theory be done or at least augmented by AI. Law, accounting, writing, marketing -- there are no limits.
4. Adept raises $350M for AI LLM integrations
Their AI is basically an LLM that can do tasks for you, with integrations to Google Chrome, Salesforce, Sheets, email, and more.
Won't all these apps integrate AI themselves? Probably, which is likely why Adept is positioning itself more as a B2B play. And their funding round was pretty much closed with General Catalyst and Spark last fall, before the ChatGPT craze. - Forbes
In related news, the NYT says the AI funding frenzy escalates. Many other startups are raising money at high valuations, and YC's latest batch has 23%+ of companies working on AI. Sam Lessin, in contrast, said the best way to invest in AI is to buy the Big Tech companies. - NYT
5. CPI report in line with expectations
Moving markets back to 25 bps
6. SVB news roundup: stocks bounce, new regulations to come
Regional banks stocks bounce as they entice depositors to stay.
SVB creditors form group in advance of likely bankruptcy.
Senate Democrats unveil bill to repeal Trump-era bank law that reduced enhanced scrutiny cutoff from $250B to $50B (affecting SVB).
Fed thinking of new rules for midsize banks to prevent future SVB fiascos.
Signature Bank faced DOJ criminal probe before firm's collapse.
7. Meta to lay off another 10K, after 11K in November
Zuckerberg also was bullish on in-person work: "Our early analysis of performance data suggests that engineers who either joined Meta in-person and then transferred to remote or remained in-person performed better on average than people who joined remotely. This analysis also shows that engineers earlier in their career perform better on average when they work in-person with teammates at least three days a week." - Techcrunch, Meta
8. In related news, Apple is delaying bonuses
They are also changing the bonus schedule to once a year (October), limiting hiring for more jobs, and leaving open positions unhired. It still is the only Big Tech that hasn't done a round of layoffs, although it also hired much than its peers. - Bloomberg
The year of efficiency is here. A positive trend, after a crazy 2021 that left made companies bloated. Big Tech hiring less also means more engineering talent available for new startups, a good thing.
9. TikTok to launch STEM feed in U.S. this month
Another move aimed at appeasing U.S. lawmakers and the general public, suggesting that TikTok is not just a CCP-controlled mind-numbing app. There are bills aimed at banning TikTok roaming in both the House and the Senate, although we don't expect a full ban: a forced divestiture is more likely. - Techcrunch, TikTok
TikTok could split its U.S. business if deal with U.S. government flops. A sale or IPO could value it at $40-50B, according to analyst estimates. - Bloomberg
In related news, Abu Dhabi firm G42 invested in TikTok at a $220B valuation. That was a secondary sale that happened before the SVB fiasco. - Bloomberg
10. Other headlines
Tech
Microsoft signs 3rd CoD deal as it shows that Activision deal won't harm industry.
Microsoft's Build conference is back on May 23-25.
20+ U.S. stadiums and other venues are using facial recognition.
Google Pixel 8 Pro leaked renders show flat display, mysterious new sensor.
Youtube TV launching multiview mode in closed beta.
Spotify's super-high-quality audio subscriber "coming at some point."
Spotify seeks to look more like TikTok: CEO interview.
Replai.so: AI replies in Twitter and LinkedIn, as a Chrome extension.
Milo: AI copilot for parents.
At SXSW, AI fills crypto void.
Indeed tech job postings peaked in 2022.
Business
Credit Suisse's top shareholder rules out investing more, market cap at $10B, P/B 0.15.
Foxconn's sales down 10% to $65B and income is $1.3B, slightly below estimates.
Novo Nordisk to cut insulin prices by up to 75%, following Eli Lilly.
China retail sales up 3.5%, industrial production 2.4%.
SVB pledged nearly $74M to BLM causes.
Crypto
Euler Finance to offer $1M reward if $200M hacker doesn't return 90%.
a16z Crypto's Head of Policy: SEC is "completely out of control."
NFTs are an acceptable form of serving court papers, Court finds.
Crypto bank Anchorage lays off 20% of staff, or 75 people.
Washington and more
Russian jet hits U.S. drone over Black Sea, leading to drone destruction.
DeSantis is criticized by establishment Republicans for anti-Ukraine position.
DeSantis' government seeks to remove liquor license from Hyatt after drag show.
DeSantis' government seeks to criminalize transporting undocumented immigrants.
Tech workers on H1B have a scary prospect: 60 days to find a job or leave the U.S.
Andrew Tate and brother have bail denied, again.
11. Interesting tweets, memes, and images
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Today’s release of #CHATGPT4 emphasizes the exponential rate at which AI is growing. It is up to all of us to be responsible in shaping these technologies and to build them with positive applications and impacts.
See my latest in @FastCompany:
— Eric Schmidt (@ericschmidt)
3:59 AM • Mar 15, 2023
Political biases of GPT-4: On the surface, they appear to be gone. It doesn’t take much effort though to jailbreak GPT-4 into manifesting its true political biases underneath the façade.
davidrozado.substack.com/p/the-politica…— David Rozado (@DavidRozado)
4:24 AM • Mar 15, 2023
GPT-4’s ability to handle 25,000 words in a single prompt is “essentially a consultant that works for pennies per hour.”
— Trung Phan (@TrungTPhan)
2:14 AM • Mar 15, 2023
Funny cause it’s true
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk)
5:24 AM • Mar 15, 2023
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