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  • Sam Bankman-Fried ordered fake balance sheets, paid $100M in Chinese bribe, was OK with lying: Ellison

Sam Bankman-Fried ordered fake balance sheets, paid $100M in Chinese bribe, was OK with lying: Ellison

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Top stories today:

  1. SBF ordered fake balance sheets, was OK with lying: Ellison
  2. Fed minutes suggest 1 more rate hike, but markets don't buy it
  3. Today's CPI: can monthly inflation return to <0.2%?
  4. Character AI launches group chats, part of $10/mo service
  5. OpenAI expected to announce stateful, image APIs on Nov. 6

0. Data and calendar

All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT).

All times are ET.

1. Sam Bankman-Fried ordered fake balance sheets, paid $100M in Chinese bribe, was OK with lying: Ellison

More testimony from Alameda CEO Caroline Ellison:

  • She prepared 7 fake balance sheets to show to lenders, and SBF decided which one would look better.

  • FTX paid a $100M bribe to Chinese officials in 2021 in exchange for the release of around $1B of Alameda's money on OKX and Huobi.

  • SBF was irritated she didn’t hedge enough, although not hedging with customer funds doesn't seem like a strong defense.

  • SBF was conscious about his eccentric founder image, purposively switching from luxury cars to a Corolla.

  • SBF was a “utilitarian,” OK with lying and stealing.

  • SBF wanted to buy Snapchat. - Bloomberg

Alameda lost $190M to phishing, according to a former engineer. - The Block

2. Fed minutes suggest 1 more rate hike, but markets don't buy it

Markets price in stability, then timid rate cuts starting in June:

  • “A majority of participants judged that one more increase in the target federal funds rate at a future meeting would likely be appropriate, while some judged it likely that no further increases would be warranted.”

  • “Policy should remain restrictive for some time until the Committee is confident that inflation is moving down sustainably toward its objective”: point of complete agreement among FOMC members. - CNBC, Fed minutes

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4. Today's CPI: can monthly inflation return to <0.2%?

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